Hash of the call arguments. Qloo returns no requestId on this path, so it is shown as “—”, never invented.
04 · The verdict
2,084
tickets to break even
$250,000 ÷ $120 = 2,083.33 — rounded up: 2,084
Qloo evidence
Every claim, receipted.
Taste evidence for the headliner, the opener shortlist and the city audience. The overlap below is the whole idea: the opener must share the headliner's audience.
Tags, audience bands and affinity for the artist you entered — resolved first, never guessed.
describe · entity_tags
Opener shortlist
Candidates from fans of the headliner, ranked for the city audience — with a miss ledger when the three arms disagree (Gut: LLM alone; Web: LLM + Wikidata facts; Graph: the Qloo-grounded pick).
recommend · rank
City audience
Matched areas and overlap between headliner and opener — aggregate signals, never a headcount.
where_popular · compare
The crowd, at night. Evidence photographs are generic scenes — never captioned as a real artist.
Proof strip — real receipts, recorded 29 Oct 2026
Three of the seven receipts from the recorded Billie Eilish / New York trial. Hashes are SHA-256 of the call arguments, shown truncated — the full hash travels in the downloadable proof pack. Qloo returns no requestId on this path, so it is shown as “—”, never invented.
Claim
Argument hash
RequestId
Results
headliner tags
affa6e35…f7f93f7
—
10
opener candidates
ca25e61f…f5f3bc4b
—
10
city audience areas
300b8295…1a53cfc
—
10
The money math
One formula. Nothing hidden.
The verdict is arithmetic, not a prediction. The formula is on the page, with a checker you can run yourself in the app.
Guarantee $250,000 ÷ Ticket $120 = 2,084 tickets
$250,000 ÷ $120 = 2,083.33 — rounded up: 2,084
Optional venue, production, marketing, and other fixed costs are added only when entered, and an entered sponsor offset is subtracted. A blank field is not entered. The recorded trials entered none of these fields, so the count above stays 2,084 tickets.
If break-even exceeds a known capacity, the verdict is “Cannot break even in this room at this guarantee.” If Ticketmaster returns a room record with no capacity field, the page says: “Venue capacity unknown — Ticketmaster returned no capacity for this room. Break-even is shown as tickets needed, not as a sellout percentage. Verify room size before signing.” Other unknown causes render their own sentences (key not configured, or Ticketmaster unavailable). Never a made-up number, never a sellout percentage on unknown ground.
Illustrative arithmetic on the recorded trial. Being wrong by 100 tickets = $12,000 of guarantee exposure (100 × 120 = 12,000). That 100-ticket gap is hypothetical — not a measured outcome, not a real loss, and not a prediction.
Recorded trials · not live
Proven on real runs.
Three recorded trials against live Qloo data. Labeled recorded, with the Graph pick and the race beside it — never presented as live. Trials 1 and 2 share the same guarantee and ticket price, so the same arithmetic gives the same count.
Typical verdict time: 26.2–40.1 seconds, measured across the 3 recorded trials, 29 Oct 2026.
Recorded · Trial 1 · 35.3s
2,084
Billie Eilish · New York · $250,000 / $120 Graph Olivia Rodrigo · Gut Clairo · Web Armani White
Recorded · Trial 2 · 26.2s
2,084
Taylor Swift · New York · $250,000 / $120 Graph Carly Rae Jepsen · Gut Sabrina Carpenter · Web Def Leppard
Recorded · Trial 3 · 40.1s
1,895
Olivia Rodrigo · Los Angeles · $180,000 / $95 Graph King Princess · Gut Gracie Abrams · Web could not select
Gut vs Graph · recorded tally
Did Qloo change the pick?
Recorded, not live. The tally below was computed from the recorded trial pack (trial-pack.json) at patch time; recompute when the pack changes.
Qloo changed the pick in 3 of 3 recorded trials. Computed from the recorded trial pack (trial-pack.json) at patch time; recompute when the pack changes.
Qloo changed the pick in some recorded trials when the Graph pick differed from the Gut or Web pick; the tally above was computed from the recorded trial pack (trial-pack.json) at patch time, never asserted.
The dashboard — polished
Form, verdict, evidence. In that order.
One sidebar, five destinations. The form sits on top, the number is the page, the evidence sits under it — each block one idea, generous air between them. This is a picture of the app shell; the destinations link to the real app sections. The dashboard card shows a different recorded Billie Eilish / New York run from Trial 1: LLM picks vary between runs, while the Qloo-grounded Graph pick is Olivia Rodrigo in both.
Billie Eilish · New York · Guarantee $250,000 · Recorded example — receipts run, 29 Oct, 32.1s
2,084 tickets to break even
$250,000 ÷ $120 = 2,083.33 — rounded up: 2,084
7 receipts
6 of 7 core legs ok
Graph: Olivia Rodrigo
Gut: Finneas
Web: Armani White
Core legs: findTags, describe, recommend, rank, wherePopular, demographics, entityTags — rank returned empty in this run.
Headliner
Tags + description resolved; 10 tags, 1 entity.
Opener
10 candidates from headliner fans; Graph pick Olivia Rodrigo.
City
City audience; aggregate signals, never a headcount.
Workspace — routing
Base city New York (40.7127, -74.0060) · candidate Los Angeles (34.0537, -118.2428). Cities that do not resolve are omitted and labelled. Comparison holds up to 5 offers with no winner badge.
Season ledger
One offer is one row.
The season, drawn as a line: an offer is signed, the show happens, attendance is reported, and the settle is measured against the break-even the verdict gave.
Season arc · offer → show → report → settle
Offer
Break-even
Attendance
Status
—
—
—
—
No show has settled yet — the settle ledger is empty, and no settled figure is claimed anywhere.
On your phone
The same verdict, in your pocket.
The real app takes an offer — artist, city, guarantee, ticket price — and returns a break-even verdict with receipted Qloo evidence beside it, plus a workspace to save and compare offers.
Static record of the 29 Oct 2026 trial — not a live verdict.
About this record, the APK and offline use
This landing section itself runs no verdict and makes no verdict call. The phone shows only the static record below — the same numbers already stated on this page. It is not the app, it runs no verdict, and nothing inside it can be tapped as if it were live.
A picture of a verdict looks like a verdict, and this page refuses to show one that nobody ran. So the phone shows a clearly labelled record of a trial that did run — 29 Oct 2026 — and nothing else. For a live verdict on your own offer, use “Try the live demo” or the Android app.
Android APK via GitHub Release. Live verdicts run in the app — this landing page never runs a verdict.
PWA note: OfferSheet is installable as an app — installing adds it to your home screen. Offline, the app shows its honest offline page with no number and no stale result; /api/* calls are network-only.
A static record, not a moving demoThe phone shows the static record of the 29 Oct 2026 trial only — offer, evidence, verdict. It is a record, never a live run.
Or take it with youDownload the Android app, or open the full app in this browser. The record is a preview, never the only way in.
Built for thumbs and for stillnessEvery button and link in this section is at least 48px tall, and the section respects safe-area insets.
Recorded demo — 29 Oct 2026 trial, not a live verdict
ArtistBillie Eilish
CityNew York
Guarantee$250,000
Ticket price$120
2,084
tickets to break even
$250,000 ÷ $120 = 2,083.33, rounded up
Receipts · SHA-256
headliner tagsaffa6e35…f7f93f7
opener candidatesca25e61f…f5f3bc4b
city audience areas300b8295…1a53cfc
Evidence
Headliner · 10 tags
Opener · Olivia Rodrigo
City · New York
7 receipts · 6 of 7 legs ok
Billie Eilish · New York · recorded trial
Android APK · android-app-v1.0.0Installable PWAOffline: honest page, no number
